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Chances
Model output from 10,000 simulated seasons. Not a guarantee.
Remaining games
Team, conference and league logos courtesy of ESPN
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| Date (MT) | Game | Win probabilitymodel | Model lineKickTip analysis | Market consensusThe Odds API, as of Oct 23, 10:15 PM MT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Oct 31, 1:00 PM MT | Air ForceAway | Locked | Locked | Locked |
| Sat Nov 7, 10:00 AM MT | North CarolinaHome | Locked | Locked | Locked |
| Sat Nov 14, 10:00 AM MT | James MadisonHome | Locked | Locked | Locked |
| Sat Nov 21, 1:30 PM MT | Old DominionHome | Locked | Locked | Locked |
| Sat Nov 28, time TBA | WyomingAway | Locked | Locked | Locked |
AF
NC
JM
OD
WHow to read the lines. Each line names the favored team and the number of points, shown with a minus sign: the team named is the favorite. The model line is KickTip analysis, not a market line, and the market consensus is shown only where at least two books list a line. The two can differ a lot: right now the biggest gap between a model line and its market line is 19.5 points, which usually means our rating and the market disagree about a team. Information only.
Games against FCS opponents are counted in the simulation but have no line.
Results
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| Date (MT) | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Fri Oct 23 | MassachusettsHome | Final · W 35-16 |
| Sat Oct 10 | TempleAway | Final · W 34-20 |
| Sat Oct 3 | SyracuseHome | Final · L 41-42 |
| Sat Sep 26 | Miami (OH)Away | Final · L 21-24 |
| Sat Sep 19 | Southern MissAway | Final · W 48-20 |
| Sat Sep 12 | MarylandHome | Final · L 14-38 |
| Sat Sep 5 | Lafayette LeopardsHome | Final · W 56-7 |
Final scores from ESPN public data, last checked Oct 24, 2026, 6:47 AM MT.