Team path
LLiberty
Conference record 3-0, overall 6-1. Currently 1 of 10 in the Conference USA order (conference win percentage).
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Chances
Model output from 10,000 simulated seasons. Not a guarantee.
Remaining games
Team, conference and league logos courtesy of ESPN
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| Date (MT) | Game | Win probabilitymodel | Model lineKickTip analysis | Market consensusThe Odds API, as of Oct 23, 10:15 PM MT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Oct 31, 1:30 PM MT | Florida InternationalHome, conference game | Locked | Locked | Locked |
| Sat Nov 7, 3:00 PM MT | New Mexico StateAway, conference game | Locked | Locked | Locked |
| Sat Nov 14, 1:30 PM MT | Middle TennesseeHome, conference game | Locked | Locked | Locked |
| Sat Nov 21, 11:00 AM MT | Western KentuckyHome, conference game | Locked | Locked | Locked |
| Sat Nov 28, 12:00 PM MT | Missouri StateAway, conference game | Locked | Locked | Locked |
FI
NMS
MT
WK
MSHow to read the lines. Each line names the favored team and the number of points, shown with a minus sign: the team named is the favorite. The model line is KickTip analysis, not a market line, and the market consensus is shown only where at least two books list a line. The two can differ a lot: right now the biggest gap between a model line and its market line is 19.5 points, which usually means our rating and the market disagree about a team. Information only.
Games against FCS opponents are counted in the simulation but have no line.
Results
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| Date (MT) | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Thu Oct 22 | Kennesaw StateAway | Final · W 34-6 |
| Thu Oct 8 | Sam HoustonHome | Final · W 35-3 |
| Fri Oct 2 | DelawareAway | Final · W 30-14 |
| Thu Sep 24 | Coastal CarolinaAway | Final · W 34-17 |
| Sat Sep 19 | Ball StateHome | Final · W 51-15 |
| Sat Sep 12 | Gardner-Webb Runnin' BulldogsHome | Final · W 24-23 |
| Sat Sep 5 | James MadisonAway | Final · L 13-20 |
Final scores from ESPN public data, last checked Oct 24, 2026, 6:47 AM MT.
Paths to the title game
Chance to reach the title game by number of conference wins, from the same simulated seasons. If the team wins out, its chance is –.
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| Final conference wins | Share of seasonsmodel | Reach title gamemodel |
|---|---|---|
| Locked | ||