Team path
MSMissouri State
Conference record 1-2, overall 2-5. Currently 8 of 10 in the Conference USA order (conference win percentage).
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Chances
Model output from 10,000 simulated seasons. Not a guarantee.
Remaining games
Team, conference and league logos courtesy of ESPN
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| Date (MT) | Game | Win probabilitymodel | Model lineKickTip analysis | Market consensusThe Odds API, as of Oct 23, 10:15 PM MT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue Oct 27, 6:00 PM MT | Sam HoustonHome, conference game | Locked | Locked | Locked |
| Sat Nov 7, 2:00 PM MT | Florida InternationalAway, conference game | Locked | Locked | Locked |
| Sat Nov 14, 1:00 PM MT | New Mexico StateHome, conference game | Locked | Locked | Locked |
| Sat Nov 21, 12:00 PM MT | Jacksonville StateAway, conference game | Locked | Locked | Locked |
| Sat Nov 28, 12:00 PM MT | LibertyHome, conference game | Locked | Locked | Locked |
SH
FI
NMS
JS
LHow to read the lines. Each line names the favored team and the number of points, shown with a minus sign: the team named is the favorite. The model line is KickTip analysis, not a market line, and the market consensus is shown only where at least two books list a line. The two can differ a lot: right now the biggest gap between a model line and its market line is 19.5 points, which usually means our rating and the market disagree about a team. Information only.
Games against FCS opponents are counted in the simulation but have no line.
Results
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| Date (MT) | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Tue Oct 20 | DelawareAway | Final · L 38-61 |
| Wed Oct 14 | Kennesaw StateHome | Final · W 24-21 |
| Thu Oct 8 | Western KentuckyAway | Final · L 13-34 |
| Sat Sep 26 | SMUAway | Final · L 24-34 |
| Sat Sep 19 | MarshallHome | Final · L 24-30 |
| Sat Sep 12 | Lindenwood LionsHome | Final · W 48-14 |
| Sat Sep 5 | Texas A&MAway | Final · L 0-50 |
Final scores from ESPN public data, last checked Oct 24, 2026, 6:47 AM MT.
Paths to the title game
Chance to reach the title game by number of conference wins, from the same simulated seasons. If the team wins out, its chance is –.
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| Final conference wins | Share of seasonsmodel | Reach title gamemodel |
|---|---|---|
| Locked | ||