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Conference

Conference USA race

10 teams. The top two in conference play meet in the title game. Chances come from 10,000 simulated seasons.

All 11 conferences

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Predictions are for information only, not betting advice.Full disclaimerHow we make the numbers

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Standings

Team, conference and league logos courtesy of ESPN

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#TeamConfOverallReach title gamemodelWin conferencemodelMake the 12model
1Liberty3-06-1LockedLockedLocked
2Jacksonville State3-05-2LockedLockedLocked
3Middle Tennessee2-14-3LockedLockedLocked
4New Mexico State2-13-4LockedLockedLocked
5Western Kentucky2-13-4LockedLockedLocked
6Delaware1-23-4LockedLockedLocked
7Florida International1-23-4LockedLockedLocked
8Missouri State1-22-5LockedLockedLocked
9Kennesaw State0-31-6LockedLockedLocked
10Sam Houston0-31-6LockedLockedLocked

Listed by conference win percentage, then conference wins, then overall record, then name. Official tiebreakers are applied inside the simulation, not in this table. Chances: share of 10,000 simulated seasons (model).

Remaining conference games

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Date (MT)GameWin probabilitymodelModel lineKickTip analysisMarket consensusThe Odds API, as of Oct 23, 10:15 PM MT
Tue Oct 27, 5:00 PM MTDelawareatWestern KentuckyLockedLockedLocked
Tue Oct 27, 6:00 PM MTSam HoustonatMissouri StateLockedLockedLocked
Wed Oct 28, 5:00 PM MTKennesaw StateatMiddle TennesseeLockedLockedLocked
Wed Oct 28, 6:00 PM MTJacksonville StateatNew Mexico StateLockedLockedLocked
Sat Oct 31, 1:30 PM MTFlorida InternationalatLibertyLockedLockedLocked
Sat Nov 7, 1:00 PM MTDelawareatKennesaw StateLockedLockedLocked
Sat Nov 7, 1:30 PM MTWestern KentuckyatMiddle TennesseeLockedLockedLocked
Sat Nov 7, 2:00 PM MTMissouri StateatFlorida InternationalLockedLockedLocked
Sat Nov 7, 3:00 PM MTLibertyatNew Mexico StateLockedLockedLocked
Sat Nov 7, 5:00 PM MTSam HoustonatJacksonville StateLockedLockedLocked
Sat Nov 14, 12:00 PM MTKennesaw StateatSam HoustonLockedLockedLocked
Sat Nov 14, 1:00 PM MTNew Mexico StateatMissouri StateLockedLockedLocked
Sat Nov 14, 1:00 PM MTFlorida InternationalatDelawareLockedLockedLocked
Sat Nov 14, 1:30 PM MTJacksonville StateatWestern KentuckyLockedLockedLocked
Sat Nov 14, 1:30 PM MTMiddle TennesseeatLibertyLockedLockedLocked
Sat Nov 21, 11:00 AM MTWestern KentuckyatLibertyLockedLockedLocked
Sat Nov 21, 12:00 PM MTMissouri StateatJacksonville StateLockedLockedLocked
Sat Nov 21, 12:00 PM MTMiddle TennesseeatSam HoustonLockedLockedLocked
Sat Nov 21, 1:00 PM MTDelawareatNew Mexico StateLockedLockedLocked
Sat Nov 21, 1:00 PM MTFlorida InternationalatKennesaw StateLockedLockedLocked
Sat Nov 28, 11:00 AM MTKennesaw StateatWestern KentuckyLockedLockedLocked
Sat Nov 28, 12:00 PM MTLibertyatMissouri StateLockedLockedLocked
Sat Nov 28, 12:00 PM MTSam HoustonatFlorida InternationalLockedLockedLocked
Sat Nov 28, 12:00 PM MTNew Mexico StateatMiddle TennesseeLockedLockedLocked
Sat Nov 28, 1:30 PM MTJacksonville StateatDelawareLockedLockedLocked

How to read the lines. Each line names the favored team and the number of points, shown with a minus sign: the team named is the favorite. The model line is KickTip analysis, not a market line, and the market consensus is shown only where at least two books list a line. The two can differ a lot: right now the biggest gap between a model line and its market line is 19.5 points, which usually means our rating and the market disagree about a team. Information only.

Recent results

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Date (MT)GameResult
Thu Oct 22Liberty at Kennesaw StateFinal · Liberty 34, Kennesaw State 6
Wed Oct 21New Mexico State at Sam HoustonFinal · New Mexico State 30, Sam Houston 24
Tue Oct 20Middle Tennessee at Florida InternationalFinal · Middle Tennessee 26, Florida International 23
Tue Oct 20Missouri State at DelawareFinal · Delaware 61, Missouri State 38
Wed Oct 14Western Kentucky at Sam HoustonFinal · Western Kentucky 16, Sam Houston 3
Wed Oct 14Kennesaw State at Missouri StateFinal · Missouri State 24, Kennesaw State 21
Tue Oct 13Florida International at Jacksonville StateFinal · Jacksonville State 27, Florida International 24
Tue Oct 13Delaware at Middle TennesseeFinal · Middle Tennessee 33, Delaware 30
Thu Oct 8Sam Houston at LibertyFinal · Liberty 35, Sam Houston 3
Thu Oct 8Missouri State at Western KentuckyFinal · Western Kentucky 34, Missouri State 13
Wed Oct 7New Mexico State at Florida InternationalFinal · Florida International 22, New Mexico State 3
Wed Oct 7Jacksonville State at Kennesaw StateFinal · Jacksonville State 27, Kennesaw State 26
Fri Oct 2Liberty at DelawareFinal · Liberty 30, Delaware 14
Thu Oct 1Western Kentucky at New Mexico StateFinal · New Mexico State 34, Western Kentucky 13
Sat Sep 26Middle Tennessee at Jacksonville StateFinal · Jacksonville State 23, Middle Tennessee 13

Final scores from ESPN public data, last checked Oct 24, 2026, 6:47 AM MT.

Title game

Fri, Dec 4, 2026, 6:00 PM CT (5:00 PM MT), CBSSN, at the team with the higher win percentage

Time, TV and site are as announced by the conference.

Who controls their destiny

  • Locked

Chance to reach the title game if the team wins all of its remaining conference games (model).

How Conference USA ties are broken

When two teams finish tied in conference play, Conference USA applies these steps in order until one team is ahead:

  1. Head-to-head result between the two teams
  2. Record against all common conference opponents
  3. Record against the highest-placed common opponent in the standings, then the next, and so on
  4. Ranking-based step (CFP rank, computer composite or similar): KickTip uses its rating as a stand-in
  5. Combined conference win percentage of each team's conference opponents
  6. Random draw (coin toss)

Ties among three or more teams use a similar list, starting with results among the tied teams. This is a plain-English summary of the official policy; the official text controls.

Known limitations

  • The average computer ranking step (Connelly SP+, SportSource, ESPN SOR, KPI) is replaced by KickTip's rating.
  • The coin toss is modeled as a random draw.

Rules sources

Sources and last updated (MT)

Schedules and results: ESPN public data. Chances, win probabilities and model line: KickTip model, 10,000 simulated seasons. Market consensus: median of listed point spreads, rounded to 0.5, via The Odds API, as of Oct 23, 2026, 10:15 PM MT; only games with a posted line show one.

Model last updated: Sat, Oct 24, 2026, 6:47 AM MT. Rules: official conference tiebreaker policies (links on each conference page). KickTip is not a betting site.