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Conference

Big Ten race

18 teams. The top two in conference play meet in the title game. Chances come from 10,000 simulated seasons.

All 11 conferences

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Predictions are for information only, not betting advice.Full disclaimerHow we make the numbers

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Standings

Team, conference and league logos courtesy of ESPN

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#TeamConfOverallReach title gamemodelWin conferencemodelMake the 12model
1UCLA4-06-0LockedLockedLocked
2Ohio State4-06-1LockedLockedLocked
3Indiana3-16-1LockedLockedLocked
4USC3-16-1LockedLockedLocked
5Iowa2-15-1LockedLockedLocked
6Northwestern2-15-1LockedLockedLocked
7Minnesota2-14-2LockedLockedLocked
8Oregon2-14-2LockedLockedLocked
9Wisconsin2-14-2LockedLockedLocked
10Nebraska2-25-2LockedLockedLocked
11Purdue2-23-4LockedLockedLocked
12Michigan1-24-2LockedLockedLocked
13Illinois1-23-3LockedLockedLocked
14Rutgers1-22-4LockedLockedLocked
15Washington1-34-3LockedLockedLocked
16Penn State0-43-4LockedLockedLocked
17Maryland0-42-5LockedLockedLocked
18Michigan State0-42-5LockedLockedLocked

Listed by conference win percentage, then conference wins, then overall record, then name. Official tiebreakers are applied inside the simulation, not in this table. Chances: share of 10,000 simulated seasons (model).

Remaining conference games

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Date (MT)GameWin probabilitymodelModel lineKickTip analysisMarket consensusThe Odds API, as of Oct 23, 10:15 PM MT
Sat Oct 24, 10:00 AM MTIndianaatMichiganLockedLockedLocked
Sat Oct 24, 10:00 AM MTRutgersatNorthwesternLockedLockedLocked
Sat Oct 24, 1:00 PM MTOregonatIllinoisLockedLockedLocked
Sat Oct 24, 1:30 PM MTMichigan StateatUCLALockedLockedLocked
Sat Oct 24, 1:30 PM MTIowaatMinnesotaLockedLockedLocked
Sat Oct 24, 5:30 PM MTUSCatWisconsinLockedLockedLocked
Sat Oct 31, time TBANorthwesternatOregonLockedLockedLocked
Sat Oct 31, time TBAPurdueatPenn StateLockedLockedLocked
Sat Oct 31, 10:00 AM MTWisconsinatIowaLockedLockedLocked
Sat Oct 31, 10:00 AM MTIllinoisatMarylandLockedLockedLocked
Sat Oct 31, 10:30 AM MTMichiganatRutgersLockedLockedLocked
Sat Oct 31, 1:30 PM MTMinnesotaatIndianaLockedLockedLocked
Sat Oct 31, 5:30 PM MTOhio StateatUSCLockedLockedLocked
Sat Oct 31, 6:00 PM MTWashingtonatNebraskaLockedLockedLocked
Fri Nov 6, 6:00 PM MTNebraskaatIllinoisLockedLockedLocked
Sat Nov 7, time TBAOregonatOhio StateLockedLockedLocked
Sat Nov 7, time TBAUCLAatMinnesotaLockedLockedLocked
Sat Nov 7, time TBAIowaatNorthwesternLockedLockedLocked
Sat Nov 7, time TBAMichigan StateatMichiganLockedLockedLocked
Sat Nov 7, time TBAMarylandatPurdueLockedLockedLocked
Sat Nov 7, time TBAPenn StateatWashingtonLockedLockedLocked
Sat Nov 7, time TBARutgersatWisconsinLockedLockedLocked
Fri Nov 13, 7:00 PM MTIllinoisatUCLALockedLockedLocked
Sat Nov 14, time TBANorthwesternatOhio StateLockedLockedLocked
Sat Nov 14, time TBAUSCatIndianaLockedLockedLocked
Sat Nov 14, time TBAPurdueatIowaLockedLockedLocked
Sat Nov 14, time TBAWisconsinatMarylandLockedLockedLocked
Sat Nov 14, time TBAWashingtonatMichigan StateLockedLockedLocked
Sat Nov 14, time TBAMichiganatOregonLockedLockedLocked
Sat Nov 14, time TBAMinnesotaatPenn StateLockedLockedLocked
Sat Nov 14, time TBANebraskaatRutgersLockedLockedLocked
Fri Nov 20, 6:00 PM MTOregonatMichigan StateLockedLockedLocked
Sat Nov 21, time TBAOhio StateatNebraskaLockedLockedLocked
Sat Nov 21, time TBAIndianaatWashingtonLockedLockedLocked
Sat Nov 21, time TBAUCLAatMichiganLockedLockedLocked
Sat Nov 21, time TBAIowaatIllinoisLockedLockedLocked
Sat Nov 21, time TBAMarylandatUSCLockedLockedLocked
Sat Nov 21, time TBANorthwesternatMinnesotaLockedLockedLocked
Sat Nov 21, time TBARutgersatPenn StateLockedLockedLocked
Sat Nov 21, time TBAWisconsinatPurdueLockedLockedLocked
Fri Nov 27, 10:00 AM MTNebraskaatIowaLockedLockedLocked
Fri Nov 27, 5:30 PM MTMinnesotaatWisconsinLockedLockedLocked
Sat Nov 28, time TBAPurdueatIndianaLockedLockedLocked
Sat Nov 28, time TBAUSCatUCLALockedLockedLocked
Sat Nov 28, time TBAIllinoisatNorthwesternLockedLockedLocked
Sat Nov 28, time TBAPenn StateatMarylandLockedLockedLocked
Sat Nov 28, time TBAWashingtonatOregonLockedLockedLocked
Sat Nov 28, time TBAMichigan StateatRutgersLockedLockedLocked
Sat Nov 28, 10:00 AM MTMichiganatOhio StateLockedLockedLocked

How to read the lines. Each line names the favored team and the number of points, shown with a minus sign: the team named is the favorite. The model line is KickTip analysis, not a market line, and the market consensus is shown only where at least two books list a line. The two can differ a lot: right now the biggest gap between a model line and its market line is 19.5 points, which usually means our rating and the market disagree about a team. Information only.

Recent results

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Date (MT)GameResult
Sat Oct 17Nebraska at OregonFinal · Oregon 17, Nebraska 14
Sat Oct 17Wisconsin at UCLAFinal · UCLA 17, Wisconsin 7
Sat Oct 17Penn State at MichiganFinal · Michigan 21, Penn State 18
Sat Oct 17Rutgers at MarylandFinal · Rutgers 37, Maryland 30
Sat Oct 17Ohio State at IndianaFinal · Ohio State 19, Indiana 15
Sat Oct 17Northwestern at Michigan StateFinal · Northwestern 24, Michigan State 21
Fri Oct 16Washington at PurdueFinal · Washington 38, Purdue 26
Sat Oct 10Minnesota at PurdueFinal · Purdue 41, Minnesota 13
Sat Oct 10USC at Penn StateFinal · USC 31, Penn State 23
Sat Oct 10Maryland at Ohio StateFinal · Ohio State 45, Maryland 16
Sat Oct 10UCLA at OregonFinal · UCLA 17, Oregon 15
Sat Oct 10Illinois at Michigan StateFinal · Illinois 38, Michigan State 37
Sat Oct 10Indiana at NebraskaFinal · Indiana 20, Nebraska 17
Fri Oct 9Iowa at WashingtonFinal · Iowa 41, Washington 24
Sat Oct 3Indiana at RutgersFinal · Indiana 47, Rutgers 15
Sat Oct 3Washington at USCFinal · USC 25, Washington 21
Sat Oct 3Purdue at IllinoisFinal · Purdue 24, Illinois 17
Sat Oct 3Maryland at NebraskaFinal · Nebraska 48, Maryland 23
Sat Oct 3Ohio State at IowaFinal · Ohio State 31, Iowa 14
Sat Oct 3Michigan State at WisconsinFinal · Wisconsin 31, Michigan State 3

Final scores from ESPN public data, last checked Oct 24, 2026, 6:47 AM MT. Showing the latest 20 of 32; every result is on the team pages.

Title game

Sat, Dec 5, 2026, 8:00 PM ET (6:00 PM MT), FOX, Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis

Time, TV and site are as announced by the conference.

Who controls their destiny

  • Locked

Chance to reach the title game if the team wins all of its remaining conference games (model).

How Big Ten ties are broken

When two teams finish tied in conference play, Big Ten applies these steps in order until one team is ahead:

  1. Head-to-head result between the two teams
  2. Record against all common conference opponents
  3. Record against the highest-placed common opponent in the standings, then the next, and so on
  4. Combined conference win percentage of each team's conference opponents
  5. Ranking-based step (CFP rank, computer composite or similar): KickTip uses its rating as a stand-in
  6. Random draw (coin toss)

Ties among three or more teams use a similar list, starting with results among the tied teams. This is a plain-English summary of the official policy; the official text controls.

Known limitations

  • The SportSource rating step is replaced by KickTip's rating.
  • The opponent-record step uses the cumulative conference win percentage of all conference opponents, as the policy states.

Rules sources

  • bigten.org official source (official announcement of the Big Ten tiebreaking procedures, Aug. 26, 2024; the latest edition we found) (link may not open for automated readers)
  • bigten.org official source (title game time and TV)

Sources and last updated (MT)

Schedules and results: ESPN public data. Chances, win probabilities and model line: KickTip model, 10,000 simulated seasons. Market consensus: median of listed point spreads, rounded to 0.5, via The Odds API, as of Oct 23, 2026, 10:15 PM MT; only games with a posted line show one.

Model last updated: Sat, Oct 24, 2026, 6:47 AM MT. Rules: official conference tiebreaker policies (links on each conference page). KickTip is not a betting site.