Conference
P12Pac-12 race
8 teams. The top two in conference play meet in the title game. Chances come from 10,000 simulated seasons.
All 11 conferences
Swipe the conference list sideways →
The prediction pages and tools unlock after you accept the disclaimer. Chances, win probabilities and lines appear once you accept.
Standings
Team, conference and league logos courtesy of ESPN
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| # | Team | Conf | Overall | Reach title gamemodel | Win conferencemodel | Make the 12model |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oregon State | 3-0 | 5-2 | Locked | Locked | Locked |
| 2 | Boise State | 2-0 | 5-1 | Locked | Locked | Locked |
| 3 | San Diego State | 2-1 | 3-4 | Locked | Locked | Locked |
| 4 | Texas State | 1-1 | 3-3 | Locked | Locked | Locked |
| 5 | Utah State | 1-1 | 2-4 | Locked | Locked | Locked |
| 6 | Fresno State | 1-2 | 4-3 | Locked | Locked | Locked |
| 7 | Colorado State | 0-2 | 2-4 | Locked | Locked | Locked |
| 8 | Washington State | 0-3 | 1-6 | Locked | Locked | Locked |
OS
BS
SDS
TS
US
FS
CS
WSListed by conference win percentage, then conference wins, then overall record, then name. Official tiebreakers are applied inside the simulation, not in this table. Chances: share of 10,000 simulated seasons (model).
Remaining conference games
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| Date (MT) | Game | Win probabilitymodel | Model lineKickTip analysis | Market consensusThe Odds API, as of Oct 23, 10:15 PM MT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Oct 24, 4:00 PM MT | Boise StateatWashington State | Locked | Locked | Locked |
| Sat Oct 24, 4:30 PM MT | San Diego StateatColorado State | Locked | Locked | Locked |
| Sat Oct 24, 5:30 PM MT | Utah StateatTexas State | Locked | Locked | Locked |
| Sat Oct 31, 1:30 PM MT | Colorado StateatUtah State | Locked | Locked | Locked |
| Sat Oct 31, 5:00 PM MT | Washington StateatSan Diego State | Locked | Locked | Locked |
| Sat Oct 31, 8:00 PM MT | Texas StateatBoise State | Locked | Locked | Locked |
| Sat Oct 31, 9:00 PM MT | Oregon StateatFresno State | Locked | Locked | Locked |
| Sat Nov 7, 4:00 PM MT | Boise StateatColorado State | Locked | Locked | Locked |
| Sat Nov 7, 7:30 PM MT | Fresno StateatUtah State | Locked | Locked | Locked |
| Sat Nov 7, 8:30 PM MT | Texas StateatOregon State | Locked | Locked | Locked |
| Sat Nov 14, 2:00 PM MT | Fresno StateatTexas State | Locked | Locked | Locked |
| Sat Nov 14, 4:00 PM MT | Oregon StateatBoise State | Locked | Locked | Locked |
| Sat Nov 14, 7:30 PM MT | Utah StateatSan Diego State | Locked | Locked | Locked |
| Sat Nov 14, 8:30 PM MT | Colorado StateatWashington State | Locked | Locked | Locked |
| Sat Nov 21, 4:00 PM MT | Washington StateatTexas State | Locked | Locked | Locked |
| Sat Nov 21, 5:30 PM MT | Colorado StateatFresno State | Locked | Locked | Locked |
| Sat Nov 21, 7:30 PM MT | San Diego StateatBoise State | Locked | Locked | Locked |
| Sat Nov 21, 8:30 PM MT | Utah StateatOregon State | Locked | Locked | Locked |
How to read the lines. Each line names the favored team and the number of points, shown with a minus sign: the team named is the favorite. The model line is KickTip analysis, not a market line, and the market consensus is shown only where at least two books list a line. The two can differ a lot: right now the biggest gap between a model line and its market line is 19.5 points, which usually means our rating and the market disagree about a team. Information only.
Recent results
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| Date (MT) | Game | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Sat Oct 17 | Fresno State at San Diego State | Final · San Diego State 26, Fresno State 23 |
| Sat Oct 17 | Washington State at Oregon State | Final · Oregon State 48, Washington State 30 |
| Thu Oct 15 | Colorado State at Texas State | Final · Texas State 66, Colorado State 27 |
| Sat Oct 10 | Boise State at Fresno State | Final · Boise State 38, Fresno State 31 |
| Sat Oct 10 | San Diego State at Oregon State | Final · Oregon State 66, San Diego State 14 |
| Fri Oct 9 | Washington State at Utah State | Final · Utah State 17, Washington State 16 |
| Sat Oct 3 | Texas State at San Diego State | Final · San Diego State 31, Texas State 29 |
| Sat Oct 3 | Fresno State at Washington State | Final · Fresno State 26, Washington State 6 |
| Sat Oct 3 | Utah State at Boise State | Final · Boise State 37, Utah State 18 |
| Sat Oct 3 | Oregon State at Colorado State | Final · Oregon State 56, Colorado State 26 |
Final scores from ESPN public data, last checked Oct 24, 2026, 6:47 AM MT.
Title game
Fri, Dec 4, 2026, 5:00 PM PT (6:00 PM MT), CBS, at the higher seed
Time, TV and site are as announced by the conference.
Who controls their destiny
- Locked
Chance to reach the title game if the team wins all of its remaining conference games (model).
How Pac-12 ties are broken
When two teams finish tied in conference play, Pac-12 applies these steps in order until one team is ahead:
- Head-to-head result between the two teams
- Record against the highest-placed common opponent in the standings, then the next, and so on
- Record against all common conference opponents
- Ranking-based step (CFP rank, computer composite or similar): KickTip uses its rating as a stand-in
- Random draw (coin toss)
Ties among three or more teams use a similar list, starting with results among the tied teams. This is a plain-English summary of the official policy; the official text controls.
Known limitations
- Week 13 home-and-home flex games do not count in the standings, so conference games after week 12 are excluded.
- The policy's two ranking steps (highest CFP ranking the Tuesday before week 13, then SportSource) are replaced by one step using KickTip's rating.
Rules sources
- pac-12.com official source (official tiebreakers, title game time and TV)