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Conference

MAC race

13 teams. The top two in conference play meet in the title game. Chances come from 10,000 simulated seasons.

Predictions are for information only, not betting advice.Full disclaimerHow we make the numbers

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Standings

Team, conference and league logos courtesy of ESPN

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#TeamConfOverallReach title gamemodelWin conferencemodelMake the 12model
1Ohio3-05-2LockedLockedLocked
2Western Michigan3-05-2LockedLockedLocked
3Eastern Michigan3-14-4LockedLockedLocked
4Toledo2-15-2LockedLockedLocked
5Buffalo2-14-3LockedLockedLocked
6Miami (OH)2-14-3LockedLockedLocked
7Bowling Green2-12-5LockedLockedLocked
8Central Michigan1-23-4LockedLockedLocked
9Ball State1-22-5LockedLockedLocked
10Kent State1-22-5LockedLockedLocked
11Massachusetts1-34-4LockedLockedLocked
12Akron0-31-6LockedLockedLocked
13Sacramento State0-41-6LockedLockedLocked

Listed by conference win percentage, then conference wins, then overall record, then name. Official tiebreakers are applied inside the simulation, not in this table. Chances: share of 10,000 simulated seasons (model).

Remaining conference games

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Date (MT)GameWin probabilitymodelModel lineKickTip analysisMarket consensusThe Odds API, as of Oct 23, 10:15 PM MT
Sat Oct 24, 10:00 AM MTWestern MichiganatToledoLockedLockedLocked
Sat Oct 24, 11:00 AM MTAkronatKent StateLockedLockedLocked
Sat Oct 24, 11:00 AM MTMiami (OH)atCentral MichiganLockedLockedLocked
Sat Oct 24, 1:30 PM MTSacramento StateatBall StateLockedLockedLocked
Sat Oct 24, 1:30 PM MTBowling GreenatBuffaloLockedLockedLocked
Sat Oct 24, 2:00 PM MTEastern MichiganatOhioLockedLockedLocked
Fri Oct 30, 8:30 PM MTKent StateatSacramento StateLockedLockedLocked
Sat Oct 31, 10:00 AM MTBowling GreenatWestern MichiganLockedLockedLocked
Tue Nov 3, 5:00 PM MTOhioatAkronLockedLockedLocked
Tue Nov 3, 5:00 PM MTBuffaloatMiami (OH)LockedLockedLocked
Wed Nov 4, time TBABall StateatMassachusettsLockedLockedLocked
Wed Nov 4, time TBACentral MichiganvsEastern MichiganLockedLockedLocked
Wed Nov 4, time TBAToledoatSacramento StateLockedLockedLocked
Tue Nov 10, 5:00 PM MTWestern MichiganatAkronLockedLockedLocked
Tue Nov 10, 5:00 PM MTKent StateatBowling GreenLockedLockedLocked
Tue Nov 10, 5:00 PM MTOhioatMiami (OH)LockedLockedLocked
Wed Nov 11, time TBABuffaloatBall StateLockedLockedLocked
Wed Nov 11, time TBASacramento StateatCentral MichiganLockedLockedLocked
Wed Nov 11, time TBAMassachusettsatToledoLockedLockedLocked
Tue Nov 17, 5:00 PM MTBall StateatOhioLockedLockedLocked
Tue Nov 17, 5:00 PM MTEastern MichiganatWestern MichiganLockedLockedLocked
Tue Nov 17, 5:00 PM MTMiami (OH)atKent StateLockedLockedLocked
Wed Nov 18, time TBAAkronatMassachusettsLockedLockedLocked
Wed Nov 18, time TBACentral MichiganatBuffaloLockedLockedLocked
Fri Nov 20, 5:30 PM MTBowling GreenatToledoLockedLockedLocked
Tue Nov 24, time TBAMiami (OH)atWestern MichiganLockedLockedLocked
Tue Nov 24, 5:00 PM MTKent StateatEastern MichiganLockedLockedLocked
Fri Nov 27, 10:00 AM MTBuffaloatAkronLockedLockedLocked
Fri Nov 27, 10:00 AM MTToledoatOhioLockedLockedLocked
Sat Nov 28, 10:00 AM MTCentral MichiganatBall StateLockedLockedLocked
Sat Nov 28, 10:00 AM MTMassachusettsatBowling GreenLockedLockedLocked

How to read the lines. Each line names the favored team and the number of points, shown with a minus sign: the team named is the favorite. The model line is KickTip analysis, not a market line, and the market consensus is shown only where at least two books list a line. The two can differ a lot: right now the biggest gap between a model line and its market line is 19.5 points, which usually means our rating and the market disagree about a team. Information only.

Recent results

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Date (MT)GameResult
Sat Oct 17Ohio at Sacramento StateFinal · Ohio 48, Sacramento State 7
Sat Oct 17Toledo at Eastern MichiganFinal · Toledo 34, Eastern Michigan 14
Sat Oct 17Akron at Miami (OH)Final · Miami (OH) 34, Akron 14
Sat Oct 17Western Michigan at Central MichiganFinal · Western Michigan 21, Central Michigan 14
Sat Oct 17Massachusetts at BuffaloFinal · Buffalo 25, Massachusetts 18
Sat Oct 17Ball State at Bowling GreenFinal · Ball State 32, Bowling Green 31
Sat Oct 10Eastern Michigan at AkronFinal · Eastern Michigan 25, Akron 23
Sat Oct 10Buffalo at ToledoFinal · Buffalo 23, Toledo 8
Sat Oct 10Central Michigan at OhioFinal · Ohio 31, Central Michigan 14
Sat Oct 10Kent State at Western MichiganFinal · Western Michigan 38, Kent State 7
Sat Oct 10Miami (OH) at MassachusettsFinal · Miami (OH) 20, Massachusetts 19
Sat Oct 10Sacramento State at Bowling GreenFinal · Bowling Green 38, Sacramento State 10
Sat Oct 3Akron at Central MichiganFinal · Central Michigan 41, Akron 17
Sat Oct 3Eastern Michigan at MassachusettsFinal · Eastern Michigan 38, Massachusetts 14
Sat Oct 3Ohio at Kent StateFinal · Ohio 13, Kent State 10
Sat Oct 3Bowling Green at Miami (OH)Final · Bowling Green 24, Miami (OH) 20
Sat Oct 3Toledo at Ball StateFinal · Toledo 39, Ball State 24
Sat Oct 3Western Michigan at BuffaloFinal · Western Michigan 20, Buffalo 17
Sat Sep 26Massachusetts at Sacramento StateFinal · Massachusetts 35, Sacramento State 6
Sat Sep 26Ball State at Kent StateFinal · Kent State 26, Ball State 13

Final scores from ESPN public data, last checked Oct 24, 2026, 6:47 AM MT. Showing the latest 20 of 21; every result is on the team pages.

Title game

Sat, Dec 5, 2026, noon ET (10:00 AM MT), ESPN, Ford Field, Detroit

Time, TV and site are as announced by the conference.

Who controls their destiny

  • Locked

Chance to reach the title game if the team wins all of its remaining conference games (model).

How MAC ties are broken

When two teams finish tied in conference play, MAC applies these steps in order until one team is ahead:

  1. Head-to-head result between the two teams
  2. Record against all common conference opponents
  3. Ranking-based step (CFP rank, computer composite or similar): KickTip uses its rating as a stand-in
  4. Record against the highest-placed common opponent in the standings, then the next, and so on
  5. Combined conference win percentage of each team's conference opponents
  6. Random draw (coin toss)

Ties among three or more teams use a similar list, starting with results among the tied teams. This is a plain-English summary of the official policy; the official text controls.

Known limitations

  • The SportSource Team Rating Score step is replaced by KickTip's rating.
  • KickTip uses the Nov. 2025 official text because the MAC has published no 2026 revision.

Rules sources

Sources and last updated (MT)

Schedules and results: ESPN public data. Chances, win probabilities and model line: KickTip model, 10,000 simulated seasons. Market consensus: median of listed point spreads, rounded to 0.5, via The Odds API, as of Oct 23, 2026, 10:15 PM MT; only games with a posted line show one.

Model last updated: Sat, Oct 24, 2026, 6:47 AM MT. Rules: official conference tiebreaker policies (links on each conference page). KickTip is not a betting site.